Nursery and Greenhouse Managers
SOC: 11-9013.01 · Job Zone 3 (Medium preparation)
Plan, organize, direct, control, and coordinate activities of workers engaged in propagating, cultivating, and harvesting horticultural specialties, such as trees, shrubs, flowers, mushrooms, and other plants.
AI Impact Summary
Nursery and Greenhouse Managers faces moderate AI displacement risk with a score of 31/100. Significant displacement is estimated between 2041 and 2051. Of 20 analyzed tasks, 3 are highly automatable, particularly in routine_cognitive. Strong protective factors — including social intelligence, creativity, or regulatory barriers — significantly reduce effective risk.
Wage & Employment (2024)
Median Wage
$87,980
per year
Mean Wage
$97,240
per year
Employment
6K
workers
Wage Range
$51,700 - $156,530
10th - 90th pct
Wage Distribution
Protective Factors
Total protective discount: 29.0%
Skill Analysis
AI-Vulnerable Skills (6)
High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.
Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.
Programming is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.
AI-Resistant Skills (7)
Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Manual Dexterity is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
AI-Augmented Skills (5)
Recommendations
Skills to Develop
These skills are at risk from AI automation. Nursery and Greenhouse Managers professionals should diversify beyond them.
- Information Ordering
High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
- Mathematics
High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
- Reading Comprehension
High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
- Mathematics
Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.
- Memorization
Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.
Skills to Leverage
These human-centric skills remain difficult for AI to replicate. Double down here.
- Coordination
Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
- Instructing
Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
- Complex Problem Solving
Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
- Negotiation
Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
- Social Perceptiveness
Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Tools to Adopt
AI can amplify these skills. Learn the tools that augment rather than replace your work.
- Critical Thinking
Critical Thinking will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
- Judgment and Decision Making
Judgment and Decision Making will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
- Active Learning
Active Learning will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
- Writing
Writing will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
- Systems Analysis
Systems Analysis will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Task Breakdown
20 tasks analyzed
Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.
Identify plants as well as problems such as diseases, weeds, and insect pests.
Tour work areas to observe work being done, to inspect crops, and to evaluate plant and soil conditions.
Assign work schedules and duties to nursery or greenhouse staff, and supervise their work.
Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules.
Apply pesticides and fertilizers to plants.
Hire employees, and train them in gardening techniques.
Select and purchase seeds, plant nutrients, disease control chemicals, and garden and lawn care equipment.
Determine types and quantities of horticultural plants to be grown, based on budgets, projected sales volumes, or executive directives.
Explain and enforce safety regulations and policies.
Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers.
Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work.
Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities.
Prepare soil for planting, and plant or transplant seeds, bulbs, and cuttings.
Confer with horticultural personnel to plan facility renovations or additions.
Cut and prune trees, shrubs, flowers, and plants.
Provide information to customers on the care of trees, shrubs, flowers, plants, and lawns.
Construct structures and accessories such as greenhouses and benches.
Negotiate contracts such as those for land leases or tree purchases.
Graft plants.
| Task | Category | AI Capability | Risk Score | Time % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research. | Non-Routine Analytical | 45 | 45.0 | 9% |
| Identify plants as well as problems such as diseases, weeds, and insect pests. | Non-Routine Analytical | 70 | 55.0 | 8% |
| Tour work areas to observe work being done, to inspect crops, and to evaluate plant and soil conditions. | Non-Routine Analytical | 40 | 43.0 | 8% |
| Assign work schedules and duties to nursery or greenhouse staff, and supervise their work. | Non-Routine Interpersonal | 30 | 27.0 | 8% |
| Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules. | Non-Routine Analytical | 65 | 53.0 | 6% |
| Apply pesticides and fertilizers to plants. | Routine Manual | 50 | 53.0 | 5% |
| Hire employees, and train them in gardening techniques. | Non-Routine Interpersonal | 20 | 23.0 | 5% |
| Select and purchase seeds, plant nutrients, disease control chemicals, and garden and lawn care equipment. | Routine Cognitive | 80 | 81.2 | 4% |
| Determine types and quantities of horticultural plants to be grown, based on budgets, projected sales volumes, or executive directives. | Non-Routine Analytical | 65 | 53.0 | 6% |
| Explain and enforce safety regulations and policies. | Non-Routine Interpersonal | 20 | 23.0 | 4% |
| Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers. | Routine Cognitive | 85 | 83.2 | 4% |
| Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work. | Non-Routine Manual | 15 | 15.0 | 5% |
| Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities. | Routine Cognitive | 85 | 83.2 | 6% |
| Prepare soil for planting, and plant or transplant seeds, bulbs, and cuttings. | Routine Manual | 50 | 53.0 | 5% |
| Confer with horticultural personnel to plan facility renovations or additions. | Non-Routine Interpersonal | 20 | 23.0 | 3% |
| Cut and prune trees, shrubs, flowers, and plants. | Non-Routine Manual | 15 | 15.0 | 4% |
| Provide information to customers on the care of trees, shrubs, flowers, plants, and lawns. | Non-Routine Interpersonal | 45 | 33.0 | 4% |
| Construct structures and accessories such as greenhouses and benches. | Non-Routine Manual | 10 | 13.0 | 2% |
| Negotiate contracts such as those for land leases or tree purchases. | Non-Routine Interpersonal | 15 | 21.0 | 2% |
| Graft plants. | Non-Routine Manual | 30 | 21.0 | 2% |
Community Assessment
Do you agree with this risk score?
Explore other career paths
Compare displacement risk across occupations and find careers with stronger long-term prospects.