TTTakeover Tracker
33%medium risk

Actuaries

SOC: 15-2011.00 · Job Zone 4 (Considerable preparation)

Analyze statistical data, such as mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates and construct probability tables to forecast risk and liability for payment of future benefits. May ascertain insurance rates required and cash reserves necessary to ensure payment of future benefits.

MediumEst. full displacement: 20412051high confidence
Raw task score: 43.4Protective discount: 24.3%15 tasks scoredModel: v1.0_gemini-3-1-pro-preview_20260228

AI Impact Summary

Actuaries faces moderate AI displacement risk with a score of 33/100. Significant displacement is estimated between 2041 and 2051. Of 15 analyzed tasks, 1 are highly automatable, particularly in routine_cognitive. Strong protective factors — including social intelligence, creativity, or regulatory barriers — significantly reduce effective risk.

Wage & Employment (2024)

Median Wage

$125,770

per year

Mean Wage

$134,990

per year

Employment

28K

workers

Wage Range

$75,240 - $206,430

10th - 90th pct

Wage Distribution

$75,240Median: $125,770$206,430

Protective Factors

Total protective discount: 24.3%

Skill Analysis

AI-Vulnerable Skills (6)

Mathematics10%

High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Mathematics10%

High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Reading Comprehension10%

High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Information Ordering5%

High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Memorization5%

Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Programming15%

Programming is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

AI-Resistant Skills (7)

Complex Problem Solving75%

Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Instructing75%

Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Negotiation85%

Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Persuasion80%

Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Coordination70%

Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Social Perceptiveness90%

Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Manual Dexterity80%

Manual Dexterity is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

AI-Augmented Skills (5)

Critical ThinkingJudgment and Decision MakingSystems AnalysisWritingActive Learning

Recommendations

Skills to Develop

These skills are at risk from AI automation. Actuaries professionals should diversify beyond them.

  • Mathematics

    High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Mathematics

    High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Reading Comprehension

    High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Information Ordering

    High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Memorization

    Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Skills to Leverage

These human-centric skills remain difficult for AI to replicate. Double down here.

  • Complex Problem Solving

    Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Instructing

    Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Negotiation

    Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Persuasion

    Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Coordination

    Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Tools to Adopt

AI can amplify these skills. Learn the tools that augment rather than replace your work.

  • Critical Thinking

    Critical Thinking will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Judgment and Decision Making

    Judgment and Decision Making will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Systems Analysis

    Systems Analysis will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Writing

    Writing will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Active Learning

    Active Learning will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

Task Breakdown

15 tasks analyzed

Ascertain premium rates required and cash reserves and liabilities necessary to ensure payment of future benefits.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 15%

Design, review and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 65Risk: 53.0Time: 12%

Determine or help determine company policy, and explain complex technical matters to company executives, government officials, shareholders, policyholders, or the public.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 20Risk: 23.0Time: 10%

Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 20Risk: 23.0Time: 8%

Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 12%

Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 10%

Negotiate terms and conditions of reinsurance with other companies.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 20Risk: 23.0Time: 5%

Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 25Risk: 25.0Time: 8%

Determine equitable basis for distributing surplus earnings under participating insurance and annuity contracts in mutual companies.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 50Risk: 47.0Time: 4%

Provide expertise to help financial institutions manage risks and maximize returns associated with investment products or credit offerings.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 65Risk: 53.0Time: 5%

Testify before public agencies on proposed legislation affecting businesses.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 15Risk: 21.0Time: 2%

Determine policy contract provisions for each type of insurance.

Routine CognitiveAI: 80Risk: 81.2Time: 3%

Testify in court as expert witness or to provide legal evidence on matters such as the value of potential lifetime earnings of a person who is disabled or killed in an accident.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 10Risk: 19.0Time: 2%

Manage credit and help price corporate security offerings.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 65Risk: 53.0Time: 2%

Explain changes in contract provisions to customers.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 30Risk: 27.0Time: 2%

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Career Planning

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