medium risk

Budget Analysts

SOC: 13-2031.00 · Job Zone 4 (Considerable preparation)

Examine budget estimates for completeness, accuracy, and conformance with procedures and regulations. Analyze budgeting and accounting reports.

MediumEst. full displacement: 2038–2046high confidence

Raw task score: 55.4Protective discount: 21.3%13 tasks scoredModel: v1.0_gemini-3-1-pro-preview_20260228

AI Impact Summary

Budget Analysts faces moderate AI displacement risk with a score of 44/100. Significant displacement is estimated between 2038 and 2046. Of 13 analyzed tasks, 3 are highly automatable, particularly in routine_cognitive. Strong protective factors — including social intelligence, creativity, or regulatory barriers — significantly reduce effective risk.

Wage & Employment (2024)

Median Wage

$87,930

per year

Mean Wage

$93,920

per year

Employment

47K

workers

Wage Range

$60,510 - $134,640

10th - 90th pct

Wage Distribution

$60,510Median: $87,930$134,640

Protective Factors

Total protective discount: 21.3%

Skill Analysis

AI-Vulnerable Skills (6)

Mathematics10%

High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Reading Comprehension10%

High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Mathematics10%

High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Information Ordering5%

High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Memorization5%

Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Programming15%

Programming is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

AI-Resistant Skills (7)

Complex Problem Solving75%

Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Coordination70%

Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Social Perceptiveness90%

Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Instructing75%

Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Negotiation85%

Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Persuasion80%

Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Manual Dexterity80%

Manual Dexterity is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

AI-Augmented Skills (5)

Critical ThinkingJudgment and Decision MakingActive LearningWritingSystems Analysis

Recommendations

Skills to Develop

These skills are at risk from AI automation. Budget Analysts professionals should diversify beyond them.

Mathematics
High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
Reading Comprehension
High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
Mathematics
High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
Information Ordering
High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
Memorization
Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Skills to Leverage

These human-centric skills remain difficult for AI to replicate. Double down here.

Complex Problem Solving
Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Coordination
Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Social Perceptiveness
Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Instructing
Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Negotiation
Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Tools to Adopt

AI can amplify these skills. Learn the tools that augment rather than replace your work.

Critical Thinking
Critical Thinking will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Judgment and Decision Making
Judgment and Decision Making will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Active Learning
Active Learning will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Writing
Writing will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Systems Analysis
Systems Analysis will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

Task Breakdown

13 tasks analyzed

Summarize budgets and submit recommendations for the approval or disapproval of funds requests.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 60Risk: 51.0Time: 10%

Analyze monthly department budgeting and accounting reports to maintain expenditure controls.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 12%

Examine budget estimates for completeness, accuracy, and conformance with procedures and regulations.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 15%

Direct the preparation of regular and special budget reports.

Routine CognitiveAI: 80Risk: 81.2Time: 8%

Provide advice and technical assistance with cost analysis, fiscal allocation, and budget preparation.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 25Risk: 25.0Time: 10%

Compile and analyze accounting records and other data to determine the financial resources required to implement a program.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 10%

Review operating budgets to analyze trends affecting budget needs.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 8%

Interpret budget directives and establish policies for carrying out directives.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 50Risk: 47.0Time: 5%

Match appropriations for specific programs with appropriations for broader programs, including items for emergency funds.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 5%

Consult with managers to ensure that budget adjustments are made in accordance with program changes.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 15Risk: 21.0Time: 7%

Perform cost-benefit analyses to compare operating programs, review financial requests, or explore alternative financing methods.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 60Risk: 51.0Time: 5%

Seek new ways to improve efficiency and increase profits.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 50Risk: 47.0Time: 3%

Testify before examining and fund-granting authorities, clarifying and promoting the proposed budgets.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 5Risk: 17.0Time: 2%

Task	Category	AI Capability	Risk Score	Time %
Summarize budgets and submit recommendations for the approval or disapproval of funds requests.	Non-Routine Analytical	60	51.0	10%
Analyze monthly department budgeting and accounting reports to maintain expenditure controls.	Non-Routine Analytical	70	55.0	12%
Examine budget estimates for completeness, accuracy, and conformance with procedures and regulations.	Routine Cognitive	85	83.2	15%
Direct the preparation of regular and special budget reports.	Routine Cognitive	80	81.2	8%
Provide advice and technical assistance with cost analysis, fiscal allocation, and budget preparation.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	25	25.0	10%
Compile and analyze accounting records and other data to determine the financial resources required to implement a program.	Non-Routine Analytical	70	55.0	10%
Review operating budgets to analyze trends affecting budget needs.	Non-Routine Analytical	70	55.0	8%
Interpret budget directives and establish policies for carrying out directives.	Non-Routine Analytical	50	47.0	5%
Match appropriations for specific programs with appropriations for broader programs, including items for emergency funds.	Routine Cognitive	85	83.2	5%
Consult with managers to ensure that budget adjustments are made in accordance with program changes.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	15	21.0	7%
Perform cost-benefit analyses to compare operating programs, review financial requests, or explore alternative financing methods.	Non-Routine Analytical	60	51.0	5%
Seek new ways to improve efficiency and increase profits.	Non-Routine Analytical	50	47.0	3%
Testify before examining and fund-granting authorities, clarifying and promoting the proposed budgets.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	5	17.0	2%