AITakeover Tracker
33%medium risk

Emergency Management Directors

SOC: 11-9161.00 · Job Zone 4 (Considerable preparation)

Plan and direct disaster response or crisis management activities, provide disaster preparedness training, and prepare emergency plans and procedures for natural (e.g., hurricanes, floods, earthquakes), wartime, or technological (e.g., nuclear power plant emergencies or hazardous materials spills) disasters or hostage situations.

MediumEst. full displacement: 20412051high confidence
Raw task score: 47.6Protective discount: 30.3%23 tasks scoredModel: v1.0_gemini-3-1-pro-preview_20260228

AI Impact Summary

Emergency Management Directors faces moderate AI displacement risk with a score of 33/100. Significant displacement is estimated between 2041 and 2051. Of 23 analyzed tasks, 7 are highly automatable, particularly in routine_cognitive. Strong protective factors — including social intelligence, creativity, or regulatory barriers — significantly reduce effective risk.

Wage & Employment (2024)

Median Wage

$86,130

per year

Mean Wage

$97,700

per year

Employment

13K

workers

Wage Range

$51,260 - $160,420

10th - 90th pct

Wage Distribution

$51,260Median: $86,130$160,420

Protective Factors

Total protective discount: 30.3%

Skill Analysis

AI-Vulnerable Skills (6)

Reading Comprehension10%

High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Information Ordering5%

High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Mathematics10%

Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Memorization5%

Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Mathematics10%

Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Programming15%

Programming is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

AI-Resistant Skills (7)

Complex Problem Solving75%

Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Coordination70%

Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Social Perceptiveness90%

Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Persuasion80%

Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Instructing75%

Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Negotiation85%

Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Manual Dexterity80%

Manual Dexterity is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

AI-Augmented Skills (5)

Judgment and Decision MakingWritingCritical ThinkingActive LearningSystems Analysis

Recommendations

Skills to Develop

These skills are at risk from AI automation. Emergency Management Directors professionals should diversify beyond them.

  • Reading Comprehension

    High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Information Ordering

    High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

  • Mathematics

    Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

  • Memorization

    Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

  • Mathematics

    Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Skills to Leverage

These human-centric skills remain difficult for AI to replicate. Double down here.

  • Complex Problem Solving

    Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Coordination

    Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Social Perceptiveness

    Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Persuasion

    Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

  • Instructing

    Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Tools to Adopt

AI can amplify these skills. Learn the tools that augment rather than replace your work.

  • Judgment and Decision Making

    Judgment and Decision Making will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Writing

    Writing will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Critical Thinking

    Critical Thinking will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Active Learning

    Active Learning will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

  • Systems Analysis

    Systems Analysis will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

Task Breakdown

23 tasks analyzed

Keep informed of activities or changes that could affect the likelihood of an emergency, as well as those that could affect response efforts and details of plan implementation.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 65Risk: 53.0Time: 6%

Prepare emergency situation status reports that describe response and recovery efforts, needs, and preliminary damage assessments.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 5%

Coordinate disaster response or crisis management activities, such as ordering evacuations, opening public shelters, and implementing special needs plans and programs.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 10Risk: 19.0Time: 8%

Prepare plans that outline operating procedures to be used in response to disasters or emergencies, such as hurricanes, nuclear accidents, and terrorist attacks, and in recovery from these events.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 60Risk: 51.0Time: 8%

Develop and maintain liaisons with municipalities, county departments, and similar entities to facilitate plan development, response effort coordination, and exchanges of personnel and equipment.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 15Risk: 21.0Time: 6%

Apply for federal funding for emergency-management-related needs and administer and report on the progress of such grants.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 4%

Design and administer emergency or disaster preparedness training courses that teach people how to effectively respond to major emergencies and disasters.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 30Risk: 27.0Time: 5%

Collaborate with other officials to prepare and analyze damage assessments following disasters or emergencies.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 65Risk: 53.0Time: 5%

Attend meetings, conferences, and workshops related to emergency management to learn new information and to develop working relationships with other emergency management specialists.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 10Risk: 19.0Time: 4%

Inspect facilities and equipment, such as emergency management centers and communications equipment, to determine their operational and functional capabilities in emergency situations.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 40Risk: 43.0Time: 4%

Consult with officials of local and area governments, schools, hospitals, and other institutions to determine their needs and capabilities in the event of a natural disaster or other emergency.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 15Risk: 21.0Time: 5%

Develop and perform tests and evaluations of emergency management plans in accordance with state and federal regulations.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 60Risk: 51.0Time: 4%

Propose alteration of emergency response procedures based on regulatory changes, technological changes, or knowledge gained from outcomes of previous emergency situations.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 65Risk: 53.0Time: 4%

Keep informed of federal, state, and local regulations affecting emergency plans and ensure that plans adhere to these regulations.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 3%

Review emergency plans of individual organizations, such as medical facilities, to ensure their adequacy.

Routine CognitiveAI: 80Risk: 81.2Time: 4%

Develop instructional materials for the public and make presentations to citizens' groups to provide information on emergency plans and their implementation processes.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 25Risk: 25.0Time: 4%

Maintain and update all resource materials associated with emergency preparedness plans.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 3%

Train local groups in the preparation of long-term plans that are compatible with federal and state plans.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 20Risk: 23.0Time: 3%

Provide communities with assistance in applying for federal funding for emergency management facilities, radiological instrumentation, and other related items.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 20Risk: 23.0Time: 3%

Inventory and distribute nuclear, biological, and chemical detection and contamination equipment, providing instruction in its maintenance and use.

Routine CognitiveAI: 60Risk: 73.2Time: 3%

Conduct surveys to determine the types of emergency-related needs to be addressed in disaster planning or provide technical support to others conducting such surveys.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 3%

Study emergency plans used elsewhere to gather information for plan development.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 3%

Develop and implement training procedures and strategies for radiological protection, detection, and decontamination.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 50Risk: 47.0Time: 3%

Community Assessment

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Career Planning

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