medium risk

Postmasters and Mail Superintendents

SOC: 11-9131.00 · Job Zone 2 (Some preparation)

Plan, direct, or coordinate operational, administrative, management, and supportive services of a U.S. post office; or coordinate activities of workers engaged in postal and related work in assigned post office.

MediumEst. full displacement: 2041–2051high confidence

Raw task score: 51.3Protective discount: 25.7%13 tasks scoredModel: v1.0_gemini-3-1-pro-preview_20260228

AI Impact Summary

Postmasters and Mail Superintendents faces moderate AI displacement risk with a score of 38/100. Significant displacement is estimated between 2041 and 2051. Of 13 analyzed tasks, 5 are highly automatable, particularly in routine_cognitive. Strong protective factors — including social intelligence, creativity, or regulatory barriers — significantly reduce effective risk.

Wage & Employment (2024)

Median Wage

$92,730

per year

Mean Wage

$93,760

per year

Employment

14K

workers

Wage Range

$81,430 - $109,140

10th - 90th pct

Wage Distribution

$81,430Median: $92,730$109,140

Protective Factors

Total protective discount: 25.7%

Skill Analysis

AI-Vulnerable Skills (6)

Reading Comprehension10%

High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Information Ordering5%

High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Mathematics10%

High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Mathematics10%

Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Memorization5%

Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Programming15%

Programming is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

AI-Resistant Skills (7)

Coordination70%

Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Social Perceptiveness90%

Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Negotiation85%

Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Persuasion80%

Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Instructing75%

Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Complex Problem Solving75%

Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Manual Dexterity80%

Manual Dexterity is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

AI-Augmented Skills (5)

Critical ThinkingWritingActive LearningJudgment and Decision MakingSystems Analysis

Recommendations

Skills to Develop

These skills are at risk from AI automation. Postmasters and Mail Superintendents professionals should diversify beyond them.

Reading Comprehension
High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
Information Ordering
High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
Mathematics
High reliance on Mathematics is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
Mathematics
Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.
Memorization
Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Skills to Leverage

These human-centric skills remain difficult for AI to replicate. Double down here.

Coordination
Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Social Perceptiveness
Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Negotiation
Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Persuasion
Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Instructing
Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Tools to Adopt

AI can amplify these skills. Learn the tools that augment rather than replace your work.

Critical Thinking
Critical Thinking will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Writing
Writing will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Active Learning
Active Learning will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Judgment and Decision Making
Judgment and Decision Making will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Systems Analysis
Systems Analysis will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

Task Breakdown

13 tasks analyzed

Monitor employees' work schedules and attendance for payroll purposes.

Routine CognitiveAI: 90Risk: 85.2Time: 12%

Organize and supervise activities, such as the processing of incoming and outgoing mail.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 30Risk: 27.0Time: 15%

Resolve customer complaints.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 40Risk: 31.0Time: 10%

Prepare employee work schedules.

Routine CognitiveAI: 90Risk: 85.2Time: 10%

Direct and coordinate operational, management, and supportive services of one or a number of postal facilities.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 50Risk: 47.0Time: 12%

Hire and train employees, and evaluate their performance.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 35Risk: 29.0Time: 10%

Prepare and submit detailed and summary reports of post office activities to designated supervisors.

Routine CognitiveAI: 90Risk: 85.2Time: 8%

Select and train postmasters and managers of associate postal units.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 30Risk: 27.0Time: 4%

Inform the public of available services, and of postal laws and regulations.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 50Risk: 35.0Time: 5%

Negotiate labor disputes.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 15Risk: 21.0Time: 5%

Issue and cash money orders.

Routine CognitiveAI: 90Risk: 85.2Time: 3%

Collect rents for post office boxes.

Routine CognitiveAI: 95Risk: 87.2Time: 3%

Confer with suppliers to obtain bids for proposed purchases and to requisition supplies, disbursing funds according to federal regulations.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 45Risk: 33.0Time: 3%

Task	Category	AI Capability	Risk Score	Time %
Monitor employees' work schedules and attendance for payroll purposes.	Routine Cognitive	90	85.2	12%
Organize and supervise activities, such as the processing of incoming and outgoing mail.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	30	27.0	15%
Resolve customer complaints.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	40	31.0	10%
Prepare employee work schedules.	Routine Cognitive	90	85.2	10%
Direct and coordinate operational, management, and supportive services of one or a number of postal facilities.	Non-Routine Analytical	50	47.0	12%
Hire and train employees, and evaluate their performance.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	35	29.0	10%
Prepare and submit detailed and summary reports of post office activities to designated supervisors.	Routine Cognitive	90	85.2	8%
Select and train postmasters and managers of associate postal units.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	30	27.0	4%
Inform the public of available services, and of postal laws and regulations.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	50	35.0	5%
Negotiate labor disputes.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	15	21.0	5%
Issue and cash money orders.	Routine Cognitive	90	85.2	3%
Collect rents for post office boxes.	Routine Cognitive	95	87.2	3%
Confer with suppliers to obtain bids for proposed purchases and to requisition supplies, disbursing funds according to federal regulations.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	45	33.0	3%