medium risk

Training and Development Managers

SOC: 11-3131.00 · Job Zone 4 (Considerable preparation)

Plan, direct, or coordinate the training and development activities and staff of an organization.

Medium RiskEst. full displacement: 2041–2051high confidence

Raw task score: 45.1Protective discount: 27.5%12 tasks scoredModel: v1.0_gemini-3-1-pro-preview_20260228

AI Impact Summary

Training and Development Managers faces moderate AI displacement risk with a score of 33/100. Significant displacement is estimated between 2041 and 2051. Of 12 analyzed tasks, 3 are highly automatable, particularly in routine_cognitive. Strong protective factors — including social intelligence, creativity, or regulatory barriers — significantly reduce effective risk.

Wage & Employment (2024)

Median Wage

$127,090

per year

Mean Wage

$140,590

per year

Employment

45K

workers

Wage Range

$75,810 - $219,990

10th - 90th pct

Wage Distribution

$75,810Median: $127,090$219,990

Protective Factors

Total protective discount: 27.5%

Skill Analysis

AI-Vulnerable Skills (6)

Reading Comprehension10%

High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Information Ordering5%

High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.

Mathematics10%

Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Memorization5%

Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Mathematics10%

Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Programming15%

Programming is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

AI-Resistant Skills (7)

Instructing75%

Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Coordination70%

Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Social Perceptiveness90%

Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Persuasion80%

Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Complex Problem Solving75%

Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Negotiation85%

Negotiation is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Manual Dexterity80%

Manual Dexterity is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

AI-Augmented Skills (5)

Judgment and Decision MakingWritingCritical ThinkingActive LearningSystems Analysis

Recommendations

Skills to Develop

These skills are at risk from AI automation. Training and Development Managers professionals should diversify beyond them.

Reading Comprehension
High reliance on Reading Comprehension is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
Information Ordering
High reliance on Information Ordering is a risk area. Consider developing complementary AI-resistant skills to maintain value.
Mathematics
Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.
Memorization
Memorization is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.
Mathematics
Mathematics is AI-vulnerable but has moderate importance in this role. AI tools may handle this; focus on higher-value skills.

Skills to Leverage

These human-centric skills remain difficult for AI to replicate. Double down here.

Instructing
Instructing is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Coordination
Coordination is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Social Perceptiveness
Social Perceptiveness is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Persuasion
Persuasion is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.
Complex Problem Solving
Complex Problem Solving is AI-resistant — strengthening this skill provides durable career protection.

Tools to Adopt

AI can amplify these skills. Learn the tools that augment rather than replace your work.

Judgment and Decision Making
Judgment and Decision Making will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Writing
Writing will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Critical Thinking
Critical Thinking will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Active Learning
Active Learning will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.
Systems Analysis
Systems Analysis will be enhanced by AI. Develop expertise in using AI tools for this skill to increase productivity.

Task Breakdown

12 tasks analyzed

Analyze training needs to develop new training programs or modify and improve existing programs.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 65Risk: 53.0Time: 15%

Evaluate instructor performance and the effectiveness of training programs, providing recommendations for improvement.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 60Risk: 51.0Time: 10%

Plan, develop, and provide training and staff development programs, using knowledge of the effectiveness of methods such as classroom training, demonstrations, on-the-job training, meetings, conferences, and workshops.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 30Risk: 27.0Time: 15%

Prepare training budget for department or organization.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 5%

Confer with management and conduct surveys to identify training needs based on projected production processes, changes, and other factors.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 25Risk: 25.0Time: 10%

Develop and organize training manuals, multimedia visual aids, and other educational materials.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 75Risk: 57.0Time: 10%

Review and evaluate training and apprenticeship programs for compliance with government standards.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 5%

Develop testing and evaluation procedures.

Non-Routine AnalyticalAI: 70Risk: 55.0Time: 5%

Train instructors and supervisors in techniques and skills for training and dealing with employees.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 15Risk: 21.0Time: 10%

Conduct orientation sessions and arrange on-the-job training for new hires.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 25Risk: 25.0Time: 5%

Conduct or arrange for ongoing technical training and personal development classes for staff members.

Non-Routine InterpersonalAI: 25Risk: 25.0Time: 5%

Coordinate established courses with technical and professional courses provided by community schools and designate training procedures.

Routine CognitiveAI: 85Risk: 83.2Time: 5%

Task	Category	AI Capability	Risk Score	Time %
Analyze training needs to develop new training programs or modify and improve existing programs.	Non-Routine Analytical	65	53.0	15%
Evaluate instructor performance and the effectiveness of training programs, providing recommendations for improvement.	Non-Routine Analytical	60	51.0	10%
Plan, develop, and provide training and staff development programs, using knowledge of the effectiveness of methods such as classroom training, demonstrations, on-the-job training, meetings, conferences, and workshops.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	30	27.0	15%
Prepare training budget for department or organization.	Routine Cognitive	85	83.2	5%
Confer with management and conduct surveys to identify training needs based on projected production processes, changes, and other factors.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	25	25.0	10%
Develop and organize training manuals, multimedia visual aids, and other educational materials.	Non-Routine Analytical	75	57.0	10%
Review and evaluate training and apprenticeship programs for compliance with government standards.	Routine Cognitive	85	83.2	5%
Develop testing and evaluation procedures.	Non-Routine Analytical	70	55.0	5%
Train instructors and supervisors in techniques and skills for training and dealing with employees.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	15	21.0	10%
Conduct orientation sessions and arrange on-the-job training for new hires.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	25	25.0	5%
Conduct or arrange for ongoing technical training and personal development classes for staff members.	Non-Routine Interpersonal	25	25.0	5%
Coordinate established courses with technical and professional courses provided by community schools and designate training procedures.	Routine Cognitive	85	83.2	5%